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اقتباس: المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة hakamshara
I think arabiaweather's attitude towards snow elevations and sticking to 1200 and wording their comments that Amman and balqa may see small accumulations is extremely conservative
Above 900 meters past 6am, above 1000 meters past 3 am above 1200 past midnight
And with the convection so powerful at 500 hPa, expect the rain at even 900 meters at midnight to be in the form of heavy hail showers
I know they have to be conservative given their status with the country, but the beauty of meteorology is accuracy in the face of critics. I know they have struggled with past predictions, but they know -1 at 850 hpa means 900+ especially with -29 at 500 hPa
In any case, i personally expect this to be an excellent performer in terms of precipitation and accumulations, from Karak all the way to Ajloun
Allah knows best, Inshallah everyone experiences the beatuy of white tonight and tomorrow, and inshallah you enjoy the storm and stay warm
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I agree, they're holding it back and being pretty conservative, and although I still have some doubts and I don't trust such conditions, but on papers it sounds good at least for +1000m altitudes, so they should've mention it
رد: مناقشة الأحوال الجوية السائدة والمتوقعة خلال شهر كانون ثاني لسنة 2021
العرض العادي
